Giulia Lo Forte

phone 778-223-7192
file_download Download CV
Research Area
Education

The University of British Columbia, PhD in Economics, 2019-2025 (expected)
Bocconi University, MSc in Economics, 2015-2018
Bocconi University, BSc in Economics, 2012-2015


About

Research areas: International Trade, Innovation, Spatial Economics, Industrial Policy, and Urban Economics

I am an Applied Economist with interests in International Trade, Innovation, Spatial Economics, and Industrial Policy. I focus on intellectual property and human capital.

I am also a member of the Industrial Policy Group, an empirical research lab dedicated to studying industrial strategy.

In my job market paper, I use trademarks to study product innovation in the US and quantify consumer gains from globalization.

My expected graduation date is 2025. I will be available for interviews in the 2024-2025 job market.


Research

Trademarks and Gains from Variety: the Role of Multinational Enterprises (Job Market Paper)

Abstract:The availability of novel differentiated products, or varieties, is theoretically an important portion of the welfare gains from globalization, yet attempts to empirically quantify these gains suffer from a number of shortcomings. This paper uses data on trademarks registered in the United States to overcome one major shortcoming: the inability to disentangle production from design origin of new goods using trade data. First, I quantify the variety gains from trade, obtaining 2–3 times larger variety gains for the years 1995–2014 compared to using sectoral trade flows and country of origin pairs. Second, I disentangle two channels through which import competition from China affects the introduction of new US varieties. Combining trademarks with detailed Chinese customs data, I show that only imports from Chinese-owned firms located in China have a detrimental effect on the introduction of new American products in the US market. In contrast, imports from multinational enterprises located in China increase new American varieties for US buyers. This paper suggests that existing estimates of welfare gains from new varieties might be biased in the presence of multinational enterprises and provides a new perspective on the effects of import competition on product innovation.

Industrial Policy in the Global Semiconductor Sector (with Pinelopi Goldberg, Réka Juhász, Nathan Lane, and Jeff Thurk)

Abstract: The resurgence of subsidies and industrial policies has raised concerns about their potential inefficiency and alignment with multilateral principles. Critics warn that such policies may divert resources to less efficient firms and provoke retaliatory measures from other countries, leading to a wasteful “subsidy race.” However, subsidies for sectors with inherent cross-border externalities can have positive global effects. This paper examines these issues within the semiconductor industry: a key driver of economic growth and innovation with potentially significant learning-by-doing and strategic importance due to its dual-use applications. Our study aims to: (1) document and quantify recent industrial policies in the global semiconductor sector, (2) explore the rationale behind these policies, and (3) evaluate their economic impacts, particularly their cross-border effects, and compatibility with multilateral principles. We employ historical analysis, natural language processing, and a model-based approach to measure government support and its impacts. Our findings indicate that government support has been vital for the industry’s growth, with subsidies being the primary form of support. They also highlight the importance of cross-border technology transfers through FDI, business and research collaborations, and technology licensing. China, despite significant subsidies, does not stand out as an outlier compared to other countries, given its market size. Preliminary model estimates indicate that while learning-by-doing exists, it is smaller than commonly believed, with significant international spillovers. These spillovers likely reflect cross-country technology transfers and the role of fabless clients in disseminating knowledge globally through their interactions with foundries. Such cross-border spillovers are not merely accidental but result from deliberate actions by market participants that cannot be taken for granted. Firms may choose to share knowledge across borders or restrict access to frontier technology, thereby excluding certain countries. Future research will use model estimates to simulate the quantitative implications of subsidies and to explore the dynamics of a “subsidy race” in the semiconductor industry.

Assortative Matching in Patent Production

Abstract: This paper studies the collaboration process of inventors using the universe of patents filed at the European Patent Office between 1978 and 2017. I develop a one-factor static Roy model predicting that inventors sort into leaders and supporters based on an endogenous cut-off rule, and then match together to produce patents in teams of different size. Consistent with the model predictions, empirically I find that more productive leaders and supporters sort into bigger teams. Most importantly, leaders’ productivity exhibits a strong positive correlation with the productivity of supporters working with them, but this correlation decreases in magnitude as team size increases. The extent of the assortative matching is significant: in the most conservative case, a one standard deviation increase in leaders’ productivity is associated with doubling the average supporter productivity. The paper concludes with empirical evidence on the life-cycle of inventors, who move to bigger teams as they age and become leaders after gaining experience and learning from working on previous patents.

Human Capital Spillovers Across Cities (with Pablo Valenzuela-Casasempere)

Abstract: This paper studies human capital spillovers among Spanish workers. Leveraging administrative matched employer-employee data for Spain between 2006 and 2020, we study whether the experience gained by workers in larger cities transfers to workers in smaller cities when they relocate. We find that, for workers in medium-sized cities, their three-year wage growth is 1.2 log points larger for each year of experience their coworkers accumulated in a large city. This positive knowledge spillover may mitigate the negative welfare effects of restricting the growth of large cities – an avenue we plan to explore in future research.

The Composition of Intangible Capital Adoption

Abstract: This paper studies cross-border royalty payments from and to the United States for three categories of intellectual property: trademarks, computer software, and outcomes of Research & Development. I document significant heterogeneity in the foreign adoption of these intellectual property types, driven by differences in geographic distance from the United States, strength of intellectual property protection, and a country’s GDP per capita. These findings shed light on the role of technological adoption in explaining cross-country differences in economic growth.


Awards

  • Agustín Beltrán Award for Student Teaching Excellence (2022)
  • President’s Academic Excellence Initiative PhD Award (2020-2024)
  • Doctoral Fellowship (Four Year Fellowship) (2020-2024)
  • International Tuition Award (2019-2023)
  • Faculty of Arts Graduate Award (2019)
  • UBC Graduate Scholarship – CIDER Award (2019)

Teaching

University of British Columbia

  • International Trade (undergraduate and graduate) – TA
  • Econometrics (undergraduate) – TA
  • Macroeconomics (PhD) – guest lecturer

Bocconi University

  • International Trade (undergraduate and graduate) – TA
  • Macroeconomics (undergraduate and graduate) – TA

Giulia Lo Forte

phone 778-223-7192
file_download Download CV
Research Area
Education

The University of British Columbia, PhD in Economics, 2019-2025 (expected)
Bocconi University, MSc in Economics, 2015-2018
Bocconi University, BSc in Economics, 2012-2015


About

Research areas: International Trade, Innovation, Spatial Economics, Industrial Policy, and Urban Economics

I am an Applied Economist with interests in International Trade, Innovation, Spatial Economics, and Industrial Policy. I focus on intellectual property and human capital.

I am also a member of the Industrial Policy Group, an empirical research lab dedicated to studying industrial strategy.

In my job market paper, I use trademarks to study product innovation in the US and quantify consumer gains from globalization.

My expected graduation date is 2025. I will be available for interviews in the 2024-2025 job market.


Research

Trademarks and Gains from Variety: the Role of Multinational Enterprises (Job Market Paper)

Abstract:The availability of novel differentiated products, or varieties, is theoretically an important portion of the welfare gains from globalization, yet attempts to empirically quantify these gains suffer from a number of shortcomings. This paper uses data on trademarks registered in the United States to overcome one major shortcoming: the inability to disentangle production from design origin of new goods using trade data. First, I quantify the variety gains from trade, obtaining 2–3 times larger variety gains for the years 1995–2014 compared to using sectoral trade flows and country of origin pairs. Second, I disentangle two channels through which import competition from China affects the introduction of new US varieties. Combining trademarks with detailed Chinese customs data, I show that only imports from Chinese-owned firms located in China have a detrimental effect on the introduction of new American products in the US market. In contrast, imports from multinational enterprises located in China increase new American varieties for US buyers. This paper suggests that existing estimates of welfare gains from new varieties might be biased in the presence of multinational enterprises and provides a new perspective on the effects of import competition on product innovation.

Industrial Policy in the Global Semiconductor Sector (with Pinelopi Goldberg, Réka Juhász, Nathan Lane, and Jeff Thurk)

Abstract: The resurgence of subsidies and industrial policies has raised concerns about their potential inefficiency and alignment with multilateral principles. Critics warn that such policies may divert resources to less efficient firms and provoke retaliatory measures from other countries, leading to a wasteful “subsidy race.” However, subsidies for sectors with inherent cross-border externalities can have positive global effects. This paper examines these issues within the semiconductor industry: a key driver of economic growth and innovation with potentially significant learning-by-doing and strategic importance due to its dual-use applications. Our study aims to: (1) document and quantify recent industrial policies in the global semiconductor sector, (2) explore the rationale behind these policies, and (3) evaluate their economic impacts, particularly their cross-border effects, and compatibility with multilateral principles. We employ historical analysis, natural language processing, and a model-based approach to measure government support and its impacts. Our findings indicate that government support has been vital for the industry’s growth, with subsidies being the primary form of support. They also highlight the importance of cross-border technology transfers through FDI, business and research collaborations, and technology licensing. China, despite significant subsidies, does not stand out as an outlier compared to other countries, given its market size. Preliminary model estimates indicate that while learning-by-doing exists, it is smaller than commonly believed, with significant international spillovers. These spillovers likely reflect cross-country technology transfers and the role of fabless clients in disseminating knowledge globally through their interactions with foundries. Such cross-border spillovers are not merely accidental but result from deliberate actions by market participants that cannot be taken for granted. Firms may choose to share knowledge across borders or restrict access to frontier technology, thereby excluding certain countries. Future research will use model estimates to simulate the quantitative implications of subsidies and to explore the dynamics of a “subsidy race” in the semiconductor industry.

Assortative Matching in Patent Production

Abstract: This paper studies the collaboration process of inventors using the universe of patents filed at the European Patent Office between 1978 and 2017. I develop a one-factor static Roy model predicting that inventors sort into leaders and supporters based on an endogenous cut-off rule, and then match together to produce patents in teams of different size. Consistent with the model predictions, empirically I find that more productive leaders and supporters sort into bigger teams. Most importantly, leaders’ productivity exhibits a strong positive correlation with the productivity of supporters working with them, but this correlation decreases in magnitude as team size increases. The extent of the assortative matching is significant: in the most conservative case, a one standard deviation increase in leaders’ productivity is associated with doubling the average supporter productivity. The paper concludes with empirical evidence on the life-cycle of inventors, who move to bigger teams as they age and become leaders after gaining experience and learning from working on previous patents.

Human Capital Spillovers Across Cities (with Pablo Valenzuela-Casasempere)

Abstract: This paper studies human capital spillovers among Spanish workers. Leveraging administrative matched employer-employee data for Spain between 2006 and 2020, we study whether the experience gained by workers in larger cities transfers to workers in smaller cities when they relocate. We find that, for workers in medium-sized cities, their three-year wage growth is 1.2 log points larger for each year of experience their coworkers accumulated in a large city. This positive knowledge spillover may mitigate the negative welfare effects of restricting the growth of large cities – an avenue we plan to explore in future research.

The Composition of Intangible Capital Adoption

Abstract: This paper studies cross-border royalty payments from and to the United States for three categories of intellectual property: trademarks, computer software, and outcomes of Research & Development. I document significant heterogeneity in the foreign adoption of these intellectual property types, driven by differences in geographic distance from the United States, strength of intellectual property protection, and a country’s GDP per capita. These findings shed light on the role of technological adoption in explaining cross-country differences in economic growth.


Awards

  • Agustín Beltrán Award for Student Teaching Excellence (2022)
  • President’s Academic Excellence Initiative PhD Award (2020-2024)
  • Doctoral Fellowship (Four Year Fellowship) (2020-2024)
  • International Tuition Award (2019-2023)
  • Faculty of Arts Graduate Award (2019)
  • UBC Graduate Scholarship – CIDER Award (2019)

Teaching

University of British Columbia

  • International Trade (undergraduate and graduate) – TA
  • Econometrics (undergraduate) – TA
  • Macroeconomics (PhD) – guest lecturer

Bocconi University

  • International Trade (undergraduate and graduate) – TA
  • Macroeconomics (undergraduate and graduate) – TA

Giulia Lo Forte

phone 778-223-7192
Research Area
Education

The University of British Columbia, PhD in Economics, 2019-2025 (expected)
Bocconi University, MSc in Economics, 2015-2018
Bocconi University, BSc in Economics, 2012-2015

file_download Download CV
About keyboard_arrow_down

Research areas: International Trade, Innovation, Spatial Economics, Industrial Policy, and Urban Economics

I am an Applied Economist with interests in International Trade, Innovation, Spatial Economics, and Industrial Policy. I focus on intellectual property and human capital.

I am also a member of the Industrial Policy Group, an empirical research lab dedicated to studying industrial strategy.

In my job market paper, I use trademarks to study product innovation in the US and quantify consumer gains from globalization.

My expected graduation date is 2025. I will be available for interviews in the 2024-2025 job market.

Research keyboard_arrow_down

Trademarks and Gains from Variety: the Role of Multinational Enterprises (Job Market Paper)

Abstract:The availability of novel differentiated products, or varieties, is theoretically an important portion of the welfare gains from globalization, yet attempts to empirically quantify these gains suffer from a number of shortcomings. This paper uses data on trademarks registered in the United States to overcome one major shortcoming: the inability to disentangle production from design origin of new goods using trade data. First, I quantify the variety gains from trade, obtaining 2–3 times larger variety gains for the years 1995–2014 compared to using sectoral trade flows and country of origin pairs. Second, I disentangle two channels through which import competition from China affects the introduction of new US varieties. Combining trademarks with detailed Chinese customs data, I show that only imports from Chinese-owned firms located in China have a detrimental effect on the introduction of new American products in the US market. In contrast, imports from multinational enterprises located in China increase new American varieties for US buyers. This paper suggests that existing estimates of welfare gains from new varieties might be biased in the presence of multinational enterprises and provides a new perspective on the effects of import competition on product innovation.

Industrial Policy in the Global Semiconductor Sector (with Pinelopi Goldberg, Réka Juhász, Nathan Lane, and Jeff Thurk)

Abstract: The resurgence of subsidies and industrial policies has raised concerns about their potential inefficiency and alignment with multilateral principles. Critics warn that such policies may divert resources to less efficient firms and provoke retaliatory measures from other countries, leading to a wasteful “subsidy race.” However, subsidies for sectors with inherent cross-border externalities can have positive global effects. This paper examines these issues within the semiconductor industry: a key driver of economic growth and innovation with potentially significant learning-by-doing and strategic importance due to its dual-use applications. Our study aims to: (1) document and quantify recent industrial policies in the global semiconductor sector, (2) explore the rationale behind these policies, and (3) evaluate their economic impacts, particularly their cross-border effects, and compatibility with multilateral principles. We employ historical analysis, natural language processing, and a model-based approach to measure government support and its impacts. Our findings indicate that government support has been vital for the industry’s growth, with subsidies being the primary form of support. They also highlight the importance of cross-border technology transfers through FDI, business and research collaborations, and technology licensing. China, despite significant subsidies, does not stand out as an outlier compared to other countries, given its market size. Preliminary model estimates indicate that while learning-by-doing exists, it is smaller than commonly believed, with significant international spillovers. These spillovers likely reflect cross-country technology transfers and the role of fabless clients in disseminating knowledge globally through their interactions with foundries. Such cross-border spillovers are not merely accidental but result from deliberate actions by market participants that cannot be taken for granted. Firms may choose to share knowledge across borders or restrict access to frontier technology, thereby excluding certain countries. Future research will use model estimates to simulate the quantitative implications of subsidies and to explore the dynamics of a “subsidy race” in the semiconductor industry.

Assortative Matching in Patent Production

Abstract: This paper studies the collaboration process of inventors using the universe of patents filed at the European Patent Office between 1978 and 2017. I develop a one-factor static Roy model predicting that inventors sort into leaders and supporters based on an endogenous cut-off rule, and then match together to produce patents in teams of different size. Consistent with the model predictions, empirically I find that more productive leaders and supporters sort into bigger teams. Most importantly, leaders’ productivity exhibits a strong positive correlation with the productivity of supporters working with them, but this correlation decreases in magnitude as team size increases. The extent of the assortative matching is significant: in the most conservative case, a one standard deviation increase in leaders’ productivity is associated with doubling the average supporter productivity. The paper concludes with empirical evidence on the life-cycle of inventors, who move to bigger teams as they age and become leaders after gaining experience and learning from working on previous patents.

Human Capital Spillovers Across Cities (with Pablo Valenzuela-Casasempere)

Abstract: This paper studies human capital spillovers among Spanish workers. Leveraging administrative matched employer-employee data for Spain between 2006 and 2020, we study whether the experience gained by workers in larger cities transfers to workers in smaller cities when they relocate. We find that, for workers in medium-sized cities, their three-year wage growth is 1.2 log points larger for each year of experience their coworkers accumulated in a large city. This positive knowledge spillover may mitigate the negative welfare effects of restricting the growth of large cities – an avenue we plan to explore in future research.

The Composition of Intangible Capital Adoption

Abstract: This paper studies cross-border royalty payments from and to the United States for three categories of intellectual property: trademarks, computer software, and outcomes of Research & Development. I document significant heterogeneity in the foreign adoption of these intellectual property types, driven by differences in geographic distance from the United States, strength of intellectual property protection, and a country’s GDP per capita. These findings shed light on the role of technological adoption in explaining cross-country differences in economic growth.

Awards keyboard_arrow_down
  • Agustín Beltrán Award for Student Teaching Excellence (2022)
  • President’s Academic Excellence Initiative PhD Award (2020-2024)
  • Doctoral Fellowship (Four Year Fellowship) (2020-2024)
  • International Tuition Award (2019-2023)
  • Faculty of Arts Graduate Award (2019)
  • UBC Graduate Scholarship – CIDER Award (2019)
Teaching keyboard_arrow_down

University of British Columbia

  • International Trade (undergraduate and graduate) – TA
  • Econometrics (undergraduate) – TA
  • Macroeconomics (PhD) – guest lecturer

Bocconi University

  • International Trade (undergraduate and graduate) – TA
  • Macroeconomics (undergraduate and graduate) – TA